“双碳”视角下宁夏农田生态系统净碳汇时空演变及驱动因素
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

徐昊文(1999-),女,硕士研究生,主要从事生态与资源统计研究。E-mail:xuhaowen0316@163.com

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

X321.0

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(52169010);国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFD1900600);宁夏自然科学基金重点项目(2021AAC02008);宁夏重点研发计划项目(2019BEH03010);清华大学-宁夏银川水联网数字治水联合研究院项目(sklhse-2023-Iow013)


Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Net Carbon Sink in Farmland Ecosystems of Ningxia under “Dual Carbon” Goals
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    [目的]为探究“双碳”目标下宁夏农田生态系统净碳汇的时空演变规律及其驱动效应。[方法]以该地区农田生态系统为研究对象,基于IPCC发布的碳排放系数法,将作物生育期碳吸收量和农业生产活动中碳排放量的差值作为农田净碳汇构建测算体系,测算2003—2022年宁夏农田净碳汇量及净碳汇强度,综合运用ArcGIS可视化方法、重心迁移模型和标准差椭圆刻画农田净碳汇时空特征,进而结合LMDI模型明确宁夏农田净碳汇的主要驱动因素。[结果]1)就时序特征而言,研究期内宁夏农田净碳汇总量总体呈上升趋势,由2003年的3.38×106 t增加至2022年的7.56×106 t;农田净碳汇强度总体呈上升趋势,由2003年的2.55 t/hm2增长到2022年的6.35 t/hm2。2)就空间格局而言,宁夏县域间农田净碳汇空间分布格局由“西北部高,东南部低”变为“北部高,南部低”;农田净碳汇重心由银川市灵武市向吴忠市红寺堡区移动,迁移距离为40.15 km。3)就净碳汇来源而言,宁夏农田生态系统碳排放来源主要是化肥施用,占碳排放总量的36.06%;碳吸收量贡献最大的作物是玉米,占碳吸收总量的50.90%。4)农田净碳汇效率和农业劳动力是宁夏农田净碳汇的负向驱动因素,经济发展水平、城镇化水平和农业产业结构因素是促进宁夏农田净碳汇的驱动因素。[结论]宁夏农田生态系统净碳汇呈显著的时空分异特征,净碳汇效应随时间推移不断增强,通过优化农业产业结构与作物种植结构,能够增强农田碳汇功能。为干旱区农业生态碳汇管理提供理论支撑,对我国西北地区制定碳减排政策实现“双碳”目标具有重要战略意义。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] To investigate the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving effects of net carbon sink in Ningxia’s farmland ecosystems under the "dual carbon" goals. [Methods] Taking the region’s farmland ecosystem as the research object and based on the carbon emission factor method released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC), a calculation system for net carbon sink in farmland was established by measuring the difference between carbon absorption during the crop growth period and carbon emissions from agricultural production activities. The net carbon sink volume and net carbon sink intensity in Ningxia from 2003 to 2022 were calculated. ArcGIS visualization, center of gravity shift model, and the standard deviation ellipse were employed to characterize the spatiotemporal characteristics of net carbon sink in farmland. Furthermore, the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index(LMDI) model was applied to identify the main driving factors of net carbon sink in Ningxia’s farmland. [Results] 1) In terms of temporal characteristics, total net carbon sink in Ningxia’s farmland showed an overall increase during the study period, increasing from 3.38×106 t in 2003 to 7.56×106 t in 2022. Additionally, the net carbon sink intensity exhibited a rising trend, rising from 2.55 t/hm2 in 2003 to 6.35 t/hm2 in 2022. 2) For spatial characteristics, the distribution of net carbon sink in Ningxia’s farmland across counties shifted from a pattern of "higher in the northwest and lower in the southeast" to "higher in the north and lower in the south". The center of gravity of net carbon sink in farmland moved from Lingwu City in Yinchuan to Hongsibao district in Wuzhong, with a shift distance of 40.15 km. 3) In terms of net carbon sink sources, chemical fertilizer application was the primary source of carbon emissions in Ningxia’s farmland ecosystem, accounting for 36.06% of the total. Corn was the main contributor to carbon absorption, representing 50.90% of total carbon absorption. 4) Net carbon sink efficiency in farmland and agricultural labor were negative driving factors for net carbon sink in Ningxia’s farmland, whereas economic development level, urbanization level, and agricultural industrial structure were positive driving factors. [Conclusion] Farmland ecosystems in Ningxia exhibit significant spatiotemporal differentiation in net carbon sink, with the carbon sink effect strengthening over time. Optimizing both agricultural industrial structure and crop planting structure can effectively strengthen carbon sink capacity of farmland. This study provides theoretical support for ecological carbon sink management in arid regions, offering strategic guidance for developing carbon emission reduction policies and achieving "dual carbon" goals in northwest China.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

徐昊文, 黄亚浩, 吴洋洋, 贾振江, 韩金朝, 李王成.“双碳”视角下宁夏农田生态系统净碳汇时空演变及驱动因素[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(4):380~392

复制
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-03-09
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-05
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-10
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码
关闭