2000—2023年巢湖流域植被时空演化及其影响因素的空间异质性
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王昊(2001-),男,硕士研究生,主要从事植被覆盖变化及生态服务研究。E-mail:2290251351@qq.com

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X87

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国家自然科学基金面上项目(32071600,41571101);安徽省自然资源科技项目(2022-k-1)


Spatiotemporal Evolution of Vegetation and Spatial Heterogeneity of Influencing Factors in Chaohu Lake Basin from 2000 to 2023
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    摘要:

    [目的] 监测巢湖流域的植被覆盖度(fractional vegetation coverage,FVC)并分析其影响因素的空间异质性,为巢湖流域环境保护、水资源调配等提供科学依据。[方法] 利用GEE平台计算巢湖流域2000—2023年的FVC,使用Theil-Sen Median斜率估计、Mann-Kendall趋势检验、变异系数和Hurst指数分析其变化特征及趋势,使用地理探测器和多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)探讨植被时空变化及其影响因素的空间异质性并实现可视化。[结果] 1)巢湖流域FVC>0.4的面积占比为60.96%;2000—2023年FVC总体呈上升趋势,整体改善区域占比58.21%,但未来FVC可能面临由改善转为退化的风险。2)地理探测器因子探测表明,各影响因素与FVC均显著相关;交互探测显示,双因素交互作用显著增强对FVC的解释能力。3)MGWR结果显示,不同影响因素对巢湖流域植被的作用表现出明显的空间差异。4)各影响因素对巢湖流域FVC表现出不同的作用尺度,其中GDP、日照时间和高程为全局变量,其余影响因素为局部变量。[结论] 研究结果有效揭示不同影响因素在空间上的异质性,为巢湖流域的生态保护提供量化依据和理论支持,促进区域内的可持续发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] This study aims to monitor the Fractional Vegetation Coverage(FVC)in the Chaohu Lake basin and analyze the spatial heterogeneity of its influencing factors, providing a scientific basis for environmental conservation and water resource allocation in the basin. [Methods] Using the Google Earth Engine (GEE)platform,FVC in the Chaohu Lake basin was calculated from 2000 to 2023. The Theil-Sen Median slope estimator,Mann-Kendall trend test,coefficient of variation,and Hurst index were applied to analyze the variation characteristics and trends. Furthermore,the geodetector and Multi-scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR)were employed to explore the spatial heterogeneity of spatiotemporal changes in vegetation and their influencing factors,and to visualize results. [Results] 1)Areas with FVC>0.4 accounted for 60.96% of the Chaohu Lake basin. From 2000 to 2023,FVC of the basin exhibited an overall upward trend,with 58.21% of its area showing vegetation improvement. However,the analysis suggested a potential reversal from greening to degradation in the future. 2)Geodetector analysis showed significant correlations between all influencing factors and FVC. Moreover, interactive detection demonstrated that two-factor interactions significantly strengthened the explanatory power for FVC. 3)MGWR results showed pronounced spatial heterogeneity in the effects of various influencing factors on vegetation across the Chaohu Lake basin. 4)Different influencing factors showed distinct scales of impact on FVC in the Chaohu Lake basin,with GDP,sunlight duration,and elevation as global-scale determinants, while the remaining factors were local-scale variables. [Conclusion] The findings effectively elucidate the spatial heterogeneity of different influencing factors,providing quantitative evidence and theoretical foundations for ecological conservation in the Chaohu Lake basin,which contributes to regional sustainable development.

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王昊, 董斌, 徐志立, 屈建伸, 韩月侠.2000—2023年巢湖流域植被时空演化及其影响因素的空间异质性[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(5):411~420

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-13
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-20
  • 出版日期: 2025-10-28
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