基于RegCM 4.7的中国土地利用变化对区域气候的影响
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胡嫚莉(1998-),女,博士研究生,主要从事土地利用变化相关研究。E-mail:731297043@qq.com

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P467

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国家自然科学基金项目(42171248,42371273);江苏省自然资源科研课题项目(2024005)


Effects of China′s Land Use Changes on Regional Climate Based on RegCM 4. 7
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    摘要:

    [目的] 土地利用是人类活动影响气候变化的重要路径,探究土地利用变化对区域气候的影响机理与效应是全球可持续发展调控的关键科学问题。[方法] 基于RegCM 4.7区域气候模型,输出分辨率为50 km,模拟2009—2018年中国地区土地利用变化背景下的区域气候演变过程,并从地表热量平衡和低层环流场探讨气温和降水的变化机理。[结果] 1)研究区土地利用变化对气温影响更为显著;2)不同土地类型变化的气候效应不同,农用地转为林地后引起夏季气温的升高和降水增加,而林地转为农用地则引起降温,农用地转为建设用地引起气温升高,但降水量有所下降;3)土地利用变化对气候的影响存在显著的空间分异(东部响应强于西部)和季节差异,夏季气温和降水响应较强;4)不同土地利用转型对气温和降水具有不同调控机制,华东农用地转建设用地驱动夏季增温0.14℃,而华南林地扩张促进降水的增加。[结论] 研究验证RegCM 4.7模型的实用性,结果可为编制气候韧性导向的国土空间规划提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Land use is an important pathway through which human activities impact climate change. Exploring the mechanisms and effects of land use changes on regional climate is a key scientific issue for regulating global sustainable development. [Methods] Based on the RegCM 4.7 regional climate model with an output resolution of 50 km,the evolution of regional climate in China under land use changes from 2009 to 2018 was simulated,and the mechanisms of temperature and precipitation changes were explored from the perspectives of surface heat balance and low-level circulation field. [Results] 1)Land use changes had a more significant effect on temperature in the study area. 2)Different types of land use changes had different climatic effects:converting agricultural land to forest land led to an increase in summer temperature and precipitation,converting forest land to agricultural land decreased temperature, and converting agricultural land to construction land resulted in increased temperature but reduced precipitation. 3)The effects of land use changes on climate exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity(stronger response in the east than in the west)and seasonal differences,with stronger responses in summer temperature and precipitation. 4)Different land use type conversions regulated temperature and precipitation through different mechanisms. The conversion of agricultural land to construction land in East China increased summer temperature by 0.14 ℃ ,while forest expansion in South China increased precipitation. [Conclusion] The study verifies the applicability of the RegCM 4.7 model. The results offer a scientific basis for developing climate-resilient land spatial planning strategies.

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胡嫚莉, 赵子龙, 李鑫.基于RegCM 4.7的中国土地利用变化对区域气候的影响[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(5):300~308

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-01
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-20
  • 出版日期: 2025-10-28
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