天山北坡土壤水分时空变化及驱动力分析
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李泓儒(2000—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事土壤水分变化研究。E-mail:18982085683@163.com

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S152.7

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国家自然科学基金项目(42177436)


Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Changes of Soil Moisture and Its Driving Forces on the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains
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    摘要:

    目的]分析天山北坡土壤水分的时空变化特征及其影响因素,探讨耕地扩张对土壤水分的影响。[方法]基于2000—2020年的1 km日尺度土壤水分数据、土地利用数据、气象数据等数据,采用TheilSen Median趋势分析、Mann-Kendall显著性检验和Pearson相关系数分析,研究0~50 cm土层的土壤水分变化,并通过地理探测器模型探讨影响土壤水分的主要因素及其空间分异特征。[结果]2000—2020年,天山北坡0~50 cm土层土壤水分总体呈减少趋势,尤其在0~10 cm土层变化最显著。不同土地利用类型下,耕地土壤水分显著下降,而林地和未利用地的变化不显著,草地土壤水分呈轻微上升趋势;土壤水分平均值依次为林地>草地>耕地>未利用地。空间分布上,大部分地区土壤水分呈减少趋势,但北部、南部和东部山脉区域土壤水分则有所增加。不同海拔的土壤水分普遍呈下降趋势;随着海拔的升高,土壤水分逐渐增加。未利用地转为耕地时,各深度层次的土壤水分均有所增加,0~10 cm土层尤为显著。草地转为耕地后土壤水分减少幅度较小,而林地转为耕地则各深度层次的减少幅度较大,特别是在40~50 cm土层。植被类型、降水和潜在蒸散发对土壤水分的影响最大,影响力分别为0.63、0.57和0.51,其中降水与植被类型的交互对土壤水分空间异质性影响最为显著。[结论]天山北坡2000—2020年土壤水分呈下降趋势,80%以上区域土壤水分减少。耕地的土壤水分显著下降,林地、草地转为耕地时土壤水分下降。土壤水分变化主要受到降水与植被类型交互作用的显著影响。

    Abstract:

    Objective]This study aimed to analyze the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of soil moisture on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains and its influencing factors,with a focus on examining the impact of cropland expansion on soil moisture. [Methods] Based on 1 km daily soil moisture data, land use data, meteorological data,and other datasets from 2000 to 2020,the Theil-Sen Median trend analysis,Mann-Kendall significance test,and Pearson correlation analysis were employed to investigate changes in soil moisture within the 0-50 cm soil layer. Additionally,the Geodetector model was used to identify the main factors influencing soil moisture and their spatial differentiation characteristics.[Results]From 2000 to 2020,soil moisture in the 0-50 cm layer on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains exhibited an overall decreasing trend,with the most significant changes observed in the 0-10 cm layer. Under different land use types,soil moisture in croplands decreased significantly,while changes in forestlands and unused lands were not significant,and grasslands showed a slight increase in soil moisture. The average soil moisture followed the order of forestlands>grasslands>croplands> unused lands. Spatially,soil moisture decreased in most areas,but increased in the northern,southern,and eastern regions of the studied area. Soil moisture generally showed a downward trend across different elevation ranges,but gradually increased with rising elevation. When unused lands were converted to croplands,soil moisture increased at all depth levels,particularly at the 0-10 cm depth. The reduction in soil moisture was relatively small when grasslands were converted to croplands,whereas the decrease was more pronounced across all depth levels when forestlands were converted to croplands,particularly at the 40-50 cm depth. Vegetation type,precipitation,and potential evapotranspiration had the greatest impact on soil moisture,with influence values of 0.63,0.57 and 0.51, respectively. Among these factors,the interaction between precipitation and vegetation type had the most significant effect on the spatial heterogeneity of soil moisture.[Conclusion]From 2000 to 2020,soil moisture on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains showed a declining trend,with over 80% of the area experiencing a decrease in soil moisture. Soil moisture decreased significantly in croplands,it also declined when forestlands and grasslands were converted to croplands. Soil moisture variation was primarily significantly influenced by the interaction between precipitation and vegetation type.

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李泓儒, 李超凡.天山北坡土壤水分时空变化及驱动力分析[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(3):135~146,153

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-18
  • 最后修改日期:2024-12-22
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-24
  • 出版日期: 2025-06-28
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