改进双累积曲线法分析长江上游水沙关系累积变异规律
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肖怡慧(2001—),女,硕士研究生,主要从事水力及河流动力研究。E-mail:15347259885@163.com

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TV147

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国家自然科学基金重点项目(U2240226)


Analysis of Cumulative Mutations of the Relationship Between Annual Runoff and Sediment Load in the Upper Yangtze River Basin Based on Improved Double Mass Curve Method
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    摘要:

    目的]大型水库群拦沙条件下,长江上游干流水沙关系出现累积变异,年径流量不存在显著变化而年输沙量持续减少。[方法]基于1950—2022年长江上游主要干支流年径流量、年输沙量观测值,采用改进的双累积曲线法,计算双累积曲线偏差序列并引入尺度缩放因子,分析长江上游流域水沙累积变异规律。[结果]长江上游水沙关系分别在1985年、1998年、2002年和2013年发生突变,年均含沙量由1.20 kg/m3依次下降为1.02、0.77、0.12、0.03 kg/m3。结合长江上游大型水库群时空分布,分析对长江上游水沙关系存在明显调控作用的大型水库发现,长江上游发生4次水沙关系突变分别对应宝珠寺和乌江渡水库、二滩和三峡水库、向家坝水库、溪洛渡水库的蓄水运用,由此导致长江上游年均输沙量减少5.15亿t,上游流域减沙率为97.17%。[结论]改进双累积曲线法可有效量化水沙关系累积变异,识别多时间尺度突变点。长江上游水沙关系突变受水库群拦沙主导,且支流与干流水库的时空叠加效应加剧了累积变异。研究成果可为流域水沙调控提供理论依据。

    Abstract:

    Objective]The relationship between annual runoff and sediment load in the Upper Yangtze River basin (UYRB)had a significant change under the operation of large reservoirs. There was no obvious variation in the annual runoff processes in the UYRB,while the annual sediment load decreased greatly.[Methods]Based on the annual runoff and sediment load observation series in the mainstream and main tributaries in the UYRB during 1950—2022,improved double mass curve method was utilized to calculate the deviation sequences of the double mass curves and introduce the scaling factors,thereby analyzing the cumulative mutation characteristics of the relationship between annual runoff and sediment load.[Results]The relationship between annual runoff and sediment load in the UYRB had significantly changed in 1985,1998,2002 and 2013,respectively. As a result, the average sediment content in the UYRB decreased from 1.20 kg/m3 to 1.02,0.77,0.12,0.03 kg/m3, respectively. Combined with the distribution of large reservoirs in the river network,the four mutations in the relationship between annual runoff and sediment load in the UYRB were caused by the operation of Baozhusi Reservoir and Wujiangdu Hydropower Station,Ertan Reservoir,Three Gorges Dam,Xiangjiaba and Xiluodu Reservoir. Operation of large reservoirs led to a reduction of annual sediment load by 515 million tons in the upstream,with a 97.17% sediment reduction rate in the upstream.[Conclusion]Improved double mass curve method can effectively quantify the cumulative change in the relationship between runoff and sediment load and identify mutation points across multiple temporal scales. The mutations in the relationship between annual runoff and sediment load in the UYRB were predominantly driven by sediment interception from reservoir groups,while the spatiotemporal superposition effects of reservoirs in both tributaries and the mainstream further intensified the cumulative variations. The research findings can provide a theoretical basis for regulation of runoff and sediment load in the basin.

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肖怡慧, 金中武, 张国帅, 金光球, 李志晶.改进双累积曲线法分析长江上游水沙关系累积变异规律[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(3):97~104,115

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-03
  • 最后修改日期:2024-12-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-24
  • 出版日期: 2025-06-28
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