基于OPGD模型的昆明市植被NPP时空演变及驱动机制
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张仲芝(1998—),女,硕士研究生,主要从事生态系统碳汇和土地利用研究。E-mail:2835319311@qq.com

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Q948

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国家自然科学基金项目(42301304);昆明理工大学校人培育基金项目(KKZ3202421124);云金地青年科研基金项目(2024-02);测绘科学与地球空间信息技术自然资源部重点实验室联合资助基金项目(2024-04-14);云南省哲学社会科学规划项目(ZD202315)


Spatiotemporal Evolution of NPP and Its Influencing Factors in Kunming City Based on the OPGD Model
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    摘要:

    [目的] 厘清植被净初级生产力(NPP)演变规律及驱动因素对测算植被的固碳能力和支撑碳交易等具有重要的意义。[方法] 基于MODIS-NPP数据,运用Theil-Sen Median趋势法和Mann-Kendall检验法分析2001—2020年昆明市植被NPP的时空动态特征,并采用参数最优地理检测器(OPGD)模型揭示气候、地形和人为因素对植被NPP的影响机制。[结果] 1)昆明市植被NPP在空间上呈“西高-东低”的分布格局,并以7.08 g/(m2·a)(以C计)的速度显著增加。2)植被景观破碎化程度加剧,在空间上破碎度与植被NPP错位分布,其对植被NPP时空分布有显著负向作用。3)植被NPP变化是气候、人为活动和地形因素共同作用的结果。其中,核归一化植被指数(kNDVI)、地表温度、植被景观破碎度解释力强于气温、降水和坡度等因子,因子间交互作用能更好地解释植被NPP的时空变化。[结论] 昆明市2001—2020年植被NPP总体呈增加态势,但主城区少部分地区形势不容乐观,未来应综合统筹,科学推进生态保护与社会经济的协调发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Clarifying the changes in net primary productivity(NPP)and the driving factors is of great significance to measure the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation and support carbon sink trading. [Methods] Net primary productivity data were obtained based on MODIS-NPP data,and combining the Theil-Sen Median trend analysis,Mann-Kendall test,and the characteristics of spatiotemporal variation of NPP in Kunming from 2001 to 2020 were revealed. The optimal parameters-based geographical detectors(OPGD)model was adopted to explore the fluencing mechanisms of climate,topography and anthropogenic factors on NPP. [Results] 1)The annual mean distribution of vegetation NPP in Kunming City was spatially and temporally heterogeneous,with a distribution pattern higher in the west and lower in the east,and increased significantly at an average annual growth rate of 7.08 g/(m2·a)(C-based). 2) The fragmentation degree of the vegetation landscape increased;the fragmentation degree was mismatched with vegetation NPP in terms of space,and it had a significant negative effect on the spatial and temporal distribution of vegetation NPP. 3)Changes in vegetation NPP were the result of the combined effects of climatic, anthropogenic and topographic factors; the kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(kNDVI),land surface temperature,and vegetation landscape fragmentation had stronger explanatory power than factors such as temperature,precipitation,and slope;and the interactions between the factors better explained the spatial and temporal changes in vegetation NPP. [Conclusion] The vegetation NPP in Kunming showed an increasing trend from 2001 to 2020 in general. However,the ecological situation in certain areas of the main urban districts is not optimistic. In the future,comprehensive planning should be implemented to scientifically promote the coordinated development of ecological protection and social economy.

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张仲芝, 赵俊三, 陈国平, 王琳, 林伊琳, 张丹丹.基于OPGD模型的昆明市植被NPP时空演变及驱动机制[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(2):298~308

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-16
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-07
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