湘江流域极端降水变化及其对输沙量影响
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

康子晗(2000—),女,硕士研究生,主要从事变化环境下的水文响应研究。E-mail:13571435612@163.com

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

P426.6

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(U2040208,52179024)


Variation of Extreme Precipitation and Its Influence on Sediment Transport in Xiangjiang River Basin
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    [目的] 为探究湘江流域极端降水的变化及其对输沙量的影响因素。[方法] 收集湘江流域1965—2018年及其周边13个气象站的日降水数据,采用RClimDex模型进行选取并计算7个极端降水指数。通过线性拟合法和5 a滑动平均法进行空间分布特征趋势分析,辅助计算各指数Cv值、Spearman相关系数和Kendall相关系数。时间特征从指数线性变化与5 a滑动平均过程线初步观察,使用M-K突变检验法、Lee-Heghinian检验法和有序聚类法对湘江流域年平均输沙量进行突变检验。双累积曲线定量分析极端降水指数对该时段输沙量变化的贡献率。[结果] 1)流域各极端降水指标54 a年际变化趋势除CWD(连续有雨日数)外均表现为增加趋势。极端降水事件历时延长,降水量与降水强度显著增加。2)各降水指数的空间分布情况与地形特点基本一致,均呈流域西南部向东北部逐渐增加趋势,7个指数均在南岳站出现最大值。3)流域输沙量在1984年和1997年发生突变,1985—1997年,极端降水量指标R99P(极强降水量)对流域输沙量减少的影响最大,贡献率为10.5%;1998—2018年,极端降水量指标R95P(强降水量)对输沙量的减少有所改变,贡献率为18.1%,但整个变化期内各极端降水指数对输沙量减少的影响均<20%。[结论] 极端降水对流域输沙量的减少产生一定影响,但人类活动仍是导致输沙量减小的主要因素。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] To explore the variation of extreme precipitation in Xiangjiang River basin and its influencing factors on sediment transport. [Methods] Daily precipitation data from 13 meteorological stations in Xiangjiang River basin and its surrounding areas during 1965—2018 were collected, and seven extreme precipitation indices were selected and calculated using the RClimDex model. The spatial distribution characteristics were analyzed by linear fitting method and five-year moving average method,and the Cv value of each index,Spearman correlation coefficients and Kendall correlation coefficients were calculated. The temporal characteristics were observed from the linear exponential change and the five-year moving average process line. M-K mutation test,Lee-Heghinian test and ordered clustering method were used to test the mutation of the average annual sediment transport in Xiangjiang River basin. The contribution rate of extreme precipitation index to the variation of sediment transport during this period was quantitatively analyzed by double accumulation curve. [Results] 1)The interannual variation trend of extreme precipitation indices in the basin during 54 years showed an increasing trend except for CWD(consecutive wet days). The duration of extreme precipitation events was prolonged,and the precipitation and precipitation intensity increased significantly. 2)The spatial distribution of each precipitation index was basically consistent with the topographic characteristics, and the trend was gradually increasing from the southwest to the northeast of the basin,and the maximum values of the seven indices were found at Nanyue Station. 3)Abrupt changes occurred in 1984 and 1997. During 1985—1997,the extreme precipitation index R99P(extremely wet days)had the greatest impact on the reduction of sediment transport in the basin,with a contribution rate of 10.5%. During 1998—2018,the same extreme precipitation index R95P(very wet days)had a change in the reduction of sediment transport. The contribution rate was 18.1%,but the influence of extreme precipitation index on sediment transport reduction was less than 20%. [Conclusion] Extreme precipitation has a certain effect on the reduction of sediment transport in the basin,but human activities are still the main factor leading to the reduction of sediment transport.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

康子晗, 莫淑红, 王晶晶, 蒋凯鑫, 姜宇博.湘江流域极端降水变化及其对输沙量影响[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(2):179~190

复制
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-09-11
  • 最后修改日期:2024-10-18
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-07
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码