量化极端气候指数对秦巴山区植被净初级生产力动态的贡献
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郝成元(1969—),男,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事自然地理综合研究。E-mail:haocy@hpu.edu.cn

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P942

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国家自然科学基金项目(U22A20566)


Quantifying the Contribution of Extreme Climate Indices to the Dynamics of Net Primary Productivity of Vegetation in the Qinba Mountain Area
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    摘要:

    [目的] 为深入了解极端气候事件对秦巴山地植被净初级生产力的影响。[方法] 以秦巴山区为例证区,使用1960—2023年161个气象站点观测数据与2001—2020年MOD17A3数据集,应用拟合回归、岭回归等分析方法,研究二者时空演变和量化极端气候指数对NPP变化趋势的贡献量。[结果] 1)研究区NPP总体发展向好,年平均增长率为5.02 g/(m2·a)(以C计)。2)1960—2023年秦巴山区极端暖事件显著增加,极端冷事件显著减少,而极端降水事件变化不明显。3)冷日持续日数、冰冻日数、冷夜日数、持续干期、中雨日数、大雨日数及热夜日数的变化对NPP变化趋势产生积极影响,其中冷夜日数贡献量最大;5日最大降水量的变化对NPP变化趋势产生消极影响。[结论] 研究可为气候变暖背景下秦巴山区陆地生态保育及应对极端气候事件提供数据或理论支撑。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] To thoroughly investigate the effects of extreme climate events on the net primary productivity(NPP)of vegetation in the Qinba Mountain area. [Methods] Using the Qinba Mountain area as an example area,161 meteorological station observations from 1960 to 2023 and MOD17A3 dataset from 2001 to 2020 were used,and fitted regression,ridge regression and other analytical methods were applied to study the spatial and temporal evolution of the two and to quantify the contribution of extreme climate indices to the trend of NPP change. [Results] 1)the overall development of NPP in the study area was favourable,with an average annual growth rate of 5.02 g/(m2·a)(calculated by C). 2)Extreme warm events significantly increased and extreme cold events significantly decreased in the Qinba Mountain area from 1960 to 2023,whereas the changes in extreme precipitation events were not obvious. 3)Changes in the CSDI,ID,TN10p,CDD,R10,R2p>0 and TR had a positive impact on the NPP trends,with the greatest contribution from the TN10p;changes in the Rx5day negatively affected the NPP trends. [Conclusion] The study can provide data or theoretical support for the conservation of terrestrial ecosystems in the Qinba Mountain area under the background of climate warming and for coping with extreme climate events.

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郝成元, 曾秋强.量化极端气候指数对秦巴山区植被净初级生产力动态的贡献[J].水土保持学报,2025,39(2):135~143,154

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-19
  • 最后修改日期:2024-10-25
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-07
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