长三角地区城市土地绿色利用效率与高质量发展互动关系及协调效应研究
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1.安徽建筑大学;2.南京林业大学

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金青年项目(52408045);安徽省教育厅人文社科重点项目(SK2021A0344); 安徽省高校省级人文社会科学研究优秀青年项目(2022AH030030)


Study on the Interactive Relationship and Coordination Effect between Urban Green Land Use Efficiency and High-Quality Development in Yangtze River Delta Region
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Anhui University of Architecture

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation of China Youth Program (52408045); Anhui Provincial Department of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Key Program (SK2021A0344); Anhui Provincial Universities Excellent Youth Program for Humanities and Social Sciences Research (2022AH030030)

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    摘要:

    [目的] 探究城市土地绿色利用效率和城市高质量发展二者互动关系及协调效应,为促进城市土地绿色利用转型,实现区域高质量发展提供科学支撑。[方法] 以长三角地区41个地级市为对象,构建评价指标体系,分别运用非期望产出Super-EBM、熵值-TOPSIS模型测算2008-2022年城市土地绿色利用效率与高质量发展指数,采用PVAR模型揭示二者交互关系,借助修正后的耦合协调模型、GM(1,1)灰色预测模型探究二者耦合协调时空特征及未来趋势。[结果] (1)长三角地区城市土地绿色利用效率为“M型”波动上升态势,呈现“西退动东进-泛均质化”的空间特征;高质量发展非线性增长特征明显,“极化辐射-干线延伸”空间格局突出。(2)二者存在双向因果交互关系,并同时受自身和对方的双重冲击,但更多受自身结构影响,具有惯性依赖特征,并且高质量发展对城市土地绿色利用效率的提升作用更大。(3)两大系统耦合协调水平稳步增长,上海市>江苏省>浙江省>安徽省,总体呈现“南高北低、东高西低、中部隆起”的空间特征,以发达城市为核心的“Z字型”轴线格局逐渐明晰;未来协调水平持续改善,但“核心-边缘”分布态势得到巩固。[结论] 通过紧扣“五大发展理念”,更新土地利用管理方式,统筹二者交互共生,从而促进区域协调发展。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] To explore the interactive relationship and coordination effect between urban land green utilization efficiency and urban high-quality development, so as to provide scientific support for promoting the transformation of urban land green utilization and realizing regional high-quality development. [Method] Taking 41 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Delta region as the object, we constructed the evaluation index system, measured the indexes of urban land green utilization efficiency and high-quality development from 2008 to 2022 by using the non-expected output Super-EBM and the entropy value-TOPSIS model, and revealed the interaction relationship between the two by using the PVAR model, with the help of the revised coupling and coordination model and the GM(1,1) gray model. The PVAR model is used to reveal the interaction between the two, and the modified coupling coordination model, GM (1,1) gray prediction model are used to explore the spatial and temporal characteristics of the coupling coordination and future trends. [Results] (1) The green land use efficiency of urban land in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region is “M-shaped” fluctuating and rising, presenting the spatial characteristics of “west retreating, east advancing, and pan-homogenization”; the non-linear growth characteristics of high-quality development are obvious, and “polarization radiation - trunk line extension” is the most important feature of urban land use efficiency. Polarization radiation - trunk line extension” spatial pattern is prominent. (2) There is a two-way causal interaction between the two, and at the same time by their own and each other"s double impact, but more influenced by their own structure, with inertial dependence characteristics, and high-quality development of urban land green utilization efficiency is more effective. (3) The level of coupling and coordination of the two systems is growing steadily, with Shanghai > Jiangsu > Zhejiang > Anhui, generally showing the spatial characteristics of “high in the south and low in the north, high in the east and low in the west, and rising in the center”, and the pattern of the “Z-shaped” axes with the developed cities as the core is becoming clearer; the future is bright. The level of coordination will continue to improve, but the “core-edge” distribution pattern will be consolidated. [Conclusion] By closely following the “five development concepts”, updating the land use management mode and integrating the interaction and symbiosis between the two, the coordinated development of the region will be promoted.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-23
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-25
  • 录用日期:2025-03-03
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-07
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