山东省农业净碳汇时空演化特征分析
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吕斯涵(1993-),男,硕士研究生,主要从事区域环境与生态产业研究。E-mail:599201260@qq.com

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国家自然科学基金项目(41161028)


Spatial-temporal Characteristics of Agricultural Net Carbon Sink in Shandong Province
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    摘要:

    基于农地利用、水稻种植、畜禽养殖、秸秆焚烧4大方面25类主要碳源和17类主要农作物碳汇,测算了山东省2000-2015年及全省17个地级市2000年、2007年、2015年的农业碳排放量和碳汇量,在此基础上计算出农业净碳汇量和净碳汇强度,并对其时空演化特征进行分析。结果表明,2000-2015年间山东省农业净碳汇总量和净碳汇强度均呈上升趋势,分别增长33.05%和39.14%,农业发展的碳效应以碳汇为主,减排增汇效果明显;农业净碳汇量区域差异明显且随时间的变化呈扩大趋势,存在净碳汇量持续增长型、波动增长型、波动下降型和持续下降型4种类型区;农业净碳汇强度区域差异较明显,亦随时间变化呈扩大趋势,存在净碳汇强度持续增长型和波动下降型2种类型区;基于空间分布特征,将各地级市净碳汇量和净碳汇强度分别划分为低、较低、中、较高和高5个等级区,2000-2015年间净碳低汇区空间分布格局相对稳定,其他4个等级区发生了较大幅度的变化,净碳高汇区向鲁西地区集中,净碳较高汇区向鲁东南地区分布;净碳汇强度空间分布格局发生了较大幅度的变化,净碳汇高强度区由鲁中向鲁西和鲁西南地区扩展,净碳汇较高强度区由鲁中向鲁东南地区扩展。

    Abstract:

    Based on the 25 categories of the major carbon resources from four aspects including agricultural land use, rice planting, livestock and poultry breeding and straw burning and the 17 categories of major crops carbon sink species, this study calculated the carbon emissions and carbon sink in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2015, and also calculated those of 17 prefecture-level cities in 2000, 2007 and 2015. Then, the agricultural net carbon sink and the intensity of net carbon sink were calculated, and the characteristics of spatial-temporal evolution were analyzed. The results showed that the amount of agricultural net carbon sink and net carbon sink intensity in Shandong province from 2000 to 2015 showed the upward trend, with the increase of 33.05% and 39.14% respectively. Carbon sink was the main carbon effect in agricultural development, and the effect of reduce emission on the increased carbon sink was obvious. The regional difference of agricultural net carbon sink was obvious and showed a trend of expansion with time, and there were four types of regions:"continuous increase", "fluctuant increase", "fluctuant decrease" and "continuous decrease". The regional difference of agricultural net carbon sink intensities was obvious and also showed a trend of expansion with time, and there were two types of regions:"continuous increase" and "fluctuant decrease". Based on spatial distribution features, the net carbon sink and net carbon sink intensities of each city were divided into five grades:lowest, lower, medium, higher and highest, from 2000 to 2015. The spatial distribution pattern of lowest net carbon sink area was relatively stable, while the other four grades of areas changed greatly. The highest net carbon sink areas were concentrated in the west of Shandong Province, and the higher net carbon sink areas in the southeast. The spatial distribution pattern of net carbon sink intensities changed greatly, the highest intensity areas of net carbon sink expanded from the middle to the west and southwest of Shandong Province, and the higher intensity areas from the middle to the southeast.

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吕斯涵, 张小平.山东省农业净碳汇时空演化特征分析[J].水土保持学报,2019,33(2):227~234

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  • 收稿日期:2018-10-17
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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-04-17
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